By The Forex Trading Coach
Online Forex Trading Course
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394 episodes
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By The Forex Trading Coach
Language
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Publishing Since
9/17/2017
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Recent Episodes
May 31, 2026
#635: These 2000-Year-Old Lessons Will Improve Your Trading
Andrew Mitchem explores ancient Greek mythology's timeless wisdom to enhance trading psychology and discipline, offering actionable insights for market success.
May 24, 2026
#634: The Trading Community That Changed Everything
Andrew Mitchem, The Forex Trading Coach, shares how a trading community fosters vital communication and shared learning for traders.
May 10, 2026
#633: You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate
<h1>You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate</h1> <p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/Gdrh_z1Mc9M?rel=0" width="560" height="315" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen"><span data-mce-type="bookmark" style="display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;" class="mce_SELRES_start"></span></iframe></p> <h3><span style="color: #000000;">Podcast:</span></h3> <p><span style="color: #000000;"> </span></p> <h4><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;"><a style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;" href="https://portal.blueberrymarkets.com/en/sign-up?referralCode=t90r3z11a" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here</a></span></strong></span></h4> <h4 style="text-align: left;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;"><a style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;" href="https://theforextradingcoach.com/online_video_coaching_forex_course.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course</a></span></strong></span></h4> <h4 style="text-align: left;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;"><a style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;" href="https://theforextradingcoach.com/call-application" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now</a></span></strong></span></h4> <h4 style="text-align: left;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;"><a style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;" href="https://theforextradingcoach.com/forex-training-masterclass/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass</a></span></strong></span></h4> <h3><span style="color: #000000;">#633: You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate<br /> </span></h3> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>I<span style="color: #000000;">n this video:</span></strong></span><br /> <span style="color: #000000;">00:43 – Win Rates in Trading and a Simple Example</span><br /> <span style="color: #000000;">01:26 – Percentage Risk for a Trade/Risk Management</span><br /> <span style="color: #000000;">02:08 – Client Ryan achieves 9% with a 37.6% win rate</span><br /> <span style="color: #000000;">02:46 – Outside world win percentages for Roger Federer,</span><br /> <span style="color: #000000;">03:15 – Casino games win rate, need 55%+</span><br /> <span style="color: #000000;">03:57 – Sports betting win rate, need 55%+</span><br /> <span style="color: #000000;">04:48 – 95% traders lose, only hear about the 5% winners, winning AND s</span><br /> <span style="color: #000000;">05:33 – 2 ways to react to losing trades, one preferred way</span><br /> <span style="color: #000000;">06:17 – Taking the good with the bad: celebrate wins and deal with losses</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">How would you like to be a consistent and profitable trader with a win rate in the mid to high 30s or low to mid 40s? Impossible? It’s not. And how do we react to losing trades? Let’s talk about that and more right now.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">Hello this is Paul Tillman. I’m the Director of Coaching Services at The Forex Trading Coach here at my home in the Raleigh, North Carolina area. And this is video and podcast number 633.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">I want to talk to you about 2 things: win rates and losing trades.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>Win Rates in Trading and a Simple Example</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">So win rates which is simply the number of trades you’re winning divided by total number of trades that you are taking. So let’s do a simple example here. Let’s say you take 2 trades. First 2 trades you lose your risking $100 per trade and you’re down $200. Let’s say the 3rd trade that you take is a winning trade. And your reward to risk is 3 to 1, as in your win is 3 times what your loss is. So you’ve won $300 on that trade.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">Now if we add that up you have 2 losing trades at -200 and 1 winning trade at +300. So you’ve made a net gain of $100. And with 33.3% win rate.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>Percentage Risk for a Trade/Risk Management</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">And as always we suggest taking a quarter or a half percent risk on the actual trade that you take. Risk management is very key, and so is consistently getting that reward to risk. So you can be a profitable trader at 33.3%.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">Now if we extrapolate that on all the trades that we take on our live webinars, on our form site and our chat room area for our daily trade suggestions, which is like a newsletter we put out each weekday. Extrapolate that out to tens and hundreds of trades in a year, and you can do very, very well with a win rate that’s much lower than 50%.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>Client Ryan achieves 9% with a 37.6% win rate</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">In fact, we had a trader, Ryan, who said for his March trades, he made 9% gain at a half percent risk, with an average awarded to risk of 2.6 to 1 across all his trades. And his win rate was 37.6%. So under 40 with a 9% gain in 1 month. That is incredibly good. And if you could do that every month, you know the sky is the limit with regards to firms and trading retirement accounts or whatever it is, you can do fantastically well now in the outside world, that’s very hard to do to be successful at something at under 50%.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>Outside world win percentages for Roger Federer,</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">Let’s take a few cases here. Roger Federer, who’s arguably my favorite tennis player and I think one of the best of all time, only won about 54%-55% of all points that he played. Which is crazy to think about how many Grand Slam titles and overall titles that he’s won and he’s only done that percentage.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>Casino games win rate, need 55%+</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">Now let’s take 2 other different ventures: the casino. A lot of people are going to casinos on cruises, or if there’s casinos where you are and the house always has about a 1% to 5% edge, depending on what game or what type of hands you’re playing, machines, et cetera, etc. so you’ve got to be in that 53% to 55% win rate range just to break even.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">And the casinos know this and they have that house edge. So it’s built in. But if you can get over 55%, which is rare, and your casino games and everything are set up for you not to do that, especially long term, then you’ll be a consistent winning player of the casino.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>Sports betting win rate, need 55%+</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">Let’s take sports betting huge around the world and has been growing in the US the last 5 to 10 years especially. Again, there’s a built in advantage to the casino. If you win 52% – 53% of bets, you’ll break about even that, that juice that they have or that vig as they say, is to the sports books advantage and the casinos. The best bettors in the world only win 55% to 60%. And that’s at the very top.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">But you can do well if you can achieve that number. So in trading, you know, high 30s, low 40s. Our client Ryan, who’s been with us a couple of years and others are getting right in that, you know, mid to high 30s or low 40s for a win rate.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>95% traders lose, only hear about the 5% winners, winning AND losing trades</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">The other one that I want to talk to you about is losing trades. There’s a reason why 95% of traders lose. But you don’t hear about the 95%. You hear about the 5%. If you take a look out there, I’m a proud owner. I’ve got another car. I would have been newer one, but that’s my 2007 Hyundai Santa Fe. It’s got 365,000 miles on it. And you know, I’m just regular guy with a family.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">And I’m going to show you what winning and losing trades are about, because that’s what most of 98% of us deal with. And we’ll give you the real story. A lot of times on social media, you don’t get what goes on behind the curtain because people only post about the positive things. So I want to give you the true story of trading and how it goes. So losing trades, none of us like to lose. But it does happen.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>2 ways to react to losing trades, one preferred way</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">So how do we react to losing trades? What are 2 ways? 1, I made a technical error. I had a deal breaker in my strategy and I traded it. I traded during news. I broke a rule I over risk, I over traded whatever I tried to revenge trade, whatever it is.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">That’s 1 reason why you also trade. The 2nd reason, and the 1 I prefer the most is you made your analysis, you stuck to your strategy, you kept all the rules, you took the right risk and you took the trade and it lost and the market just simply went against you. That’s the preferable way to trade. That’s a great way to lose a trade. Even though that sounds counterintuitive.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>Taking the good with the bad: celebrate wins and deal with losses</strong></span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">But losing streaks will happen sometimes you’ll have a losing week or a losing month and you just have to deal with that. That’s the reality of trading. As my good friend Darryl says, you have to take the good with the bad in life, and that certainly applies to trading. Take the winning trades, celebrate them, and learn how to deal with the losses.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">And all together, you’ll have a consistently profitable time of trading, and you can learn the life long skill and have it work in your favor.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">So that’s it for me. I’m going to go watch Carolina Hurricanes NHL hockey team here in the Raleigh area, going for the Stanley Cup. But yeah, we’ve talked about win rates today and how you can win with much less than 50% and still be consistently profitable.</span></p> <p><span style="color: #000000;">And how do we react? It’s easy to react to a winning trade, but how do we react to losing trade. So that’s it for me. We enjoy this beautiful weather and some hockey and we’ll see you next week here at The Forex Trading Coach. Thanks.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size: 22px; color: #000000;">Episode Title: #633: You Can Be Profitable With A 37% Win Rate<br /> </span></p> <h4 style="text-align: center;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;"><a style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;" href="https://www.blueberrymarkets.net/lp/tftc-forex-broker" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Find out more about Blueberry Markets – Click Here</a></span></strong></span></h4> <h4 style="text-align: center;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;"><a style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;" href="https://theforextradingcoach.com/online_video_coaching_forex_course.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Find out more about my Online Video Forex Course</a></span></strong></span></h4> <h4 style="text-align: center;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;"><a style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;" href="https://theforextradingcoach.com/call-application" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Book a Call with Andrew or one of his team now</a></span></strong></span></h4> <h4 style="text-align: center;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong><span style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;"><a style="color: #008000; text-decoration: underline;" href="https://theforextradingcoach.com/forex-training-masterclass/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Click Here to Attend my Free Masterclass</a></span></strong></span></h4>
394 total episodes available with 4 transcripts
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