In collaboration with Institute for the Future AARP Futurecasting has crafted descriptions of four different possible external environments that AARP could face by 2030. The four scenarios are called Great Refocus, Creative Fusion, Vicious Cycles and Rule of Tech Titans. Each has different features brought about by changes in technology and society.
Rule of Tech Titans describes a world that is profit-driven, innovative and mercenary, splitting into a world of haves and have nots. In this world deployment of technology is unconstrained by any regulatory guardrails and driven by large companies. The social fabric along with institutions are eroded and coopted by corporate ambition.
10 May 2023
Vicious Cycles
Vicious Cycles describes a world that is controlling, suspicious, inefficient, devolving towards lower quality of life for most. In this world deployment of technology is highly regulated and coopted by government while institutions and social cohesion swiftly erode.
10 May 2023
Creative Fusion
Creative Fusion describes a world that is open, collaborative and creative--self-organizing towards new and improved ways of operating. In this world deployment of technology is rapid and unregulated, but the social fabric is stronger because of new ways of interacting like crowdsourcing. And institutions are being reinvented and strengthened.
10 May 2023
The Great Refocus
Great Refocus describes a world that is utilitarian, pragmatic, directed, unified towards improvement. In this world deployment of technology has constructive regulatory guardrails and the social fabric along with institutions are reinvigorated and strengthened.
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