Almost Certainly Not

About Almost Certainly Not

History | Mystery | Crime | Culture Written, Directed, & Produced by Dan Lauer Narrated & Produced by Leyla Lawrence

Publisher

Almost Certainly Not

Category

society & culture · true crime

Language

en

Explicit

No

First episode

16 Jul 2019

Latest episode

13 Aug 2025

Latest episodes

31 episodes in the feed.

1. 

   13 Aug 2025

   The Abduction of Betty & Barney Hill

   On a lonely stretch of highway in New Hampshire, Betty and Barney Hill’s peaceful road trip home turned into a nightmare that defied explanation. A strange light in the sky. A sudden lapse in time. Fragments of impossible memories—figures with dark, staring eyes, cold metal instruments, a mysterious star map. Were they abducted by beings from beyond our world, or were their minds playing tricks on them? Decades later, their story remains one of the most chilling and controversial UFO encounters ever told. What really happened that night? → Credits, References, Corrections, and More Home: https://almostcertainlynot.com/ → Support Join our Patreon with the link below. Patreon:   / almost_certainly_not

2. 

   11 Aug 2025

   BONUS - Possibly Not 05: Liar Liar | Episode Commentary

   In this Almost Certainly Not companion series, we examine each episode's origins, production process, behind-the-scenes, personal thoughts, and most likely go off on some tangents in spite of our best efforts. In this episode, we examine Double Attack: The Maneuvers of Manipulation. Every move is calculated, every sacrifice intentional. Manipulation, like chess, is a game of control—of positioning others without them realizing they’re being played. The most skilled manipulators don’t force; they guide, nudging their pawns forward until checkmate feels like their opponent’s own doing. How does this happen? Why is it so consistent in its method and execution, and where is the line between sympathy for those who suffer from these traits and accountability for the pain they inflict on others? NOTE: The views expressed in "Possibly Not" are part of an extemporaneous discussion, and while we do our best to be as accurate as possible, we are human and will get things wrong. If we are wrong enough we will add clarifications and corrections. CITATIONS The following resources are referenced and summarized within a discussion during the episode. Seto, M. C. (2012, 2017). Pedophilia and Sexual Offending Against Children: Theory, Assessment, and Intervention. American Psychological Association. Langevin, R., Curnoe, S., & Bain, J. (2004). A study of clerics who commit sexual offenses: Are they different from other sex offenders? Child Abuse & Neglect, 28(5), 531-541. Ponseti, J., Bosinski, H. A., & Schiffer, B. (2015). The neurobiology and psychology of pedophilia: Recent advances and challenges. Frontiers in Human Neuroscience, 9, 344. Turner, D., Briken, P., & Schiffer, B. (2019). Are there any biomarkers for pedophilia and sexual child offending? Frontiers in Psychiatry, 10, 940. Widom, C. S., & Massey, C. (2015). A prospective examination of whether childhood sexual abuse predicts subsequent sexual offending. JAMA Pediatrics, 169(2), e143357. Fasano, F., Malvaso, C., & Maglietta, M. (2020). Pedophilia: Definition, classifications, criminological and neurobiological profiles, and clinical treatments—A complete review. Academia.edu.

3. 

   11 Aug 2025

   Double Attack: The Maneuvers of Manipulation

   Every move is calculated, every sacrifice intentional. Manipulation, like chess, is a game of control—of positioning others without them realizing they’re being played. The most skilled manipulators don’t force; they guide, nudging their pawns forward until checkmate feels like their opponent’s own doing. How does this happen, why is it so consistent in its method and execution and where is the line between sympathy for those who suffer from these traits and accountability for the pain they inflict on others? → Credits, References, Corrections, and More Home: https://almostcertainlynot.com/ → Support Join our Patreon with the link below. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/c/Almost_Certainly_Not

Reach and audience

Public platform figures. Ratings count people who left a rating, not total listeners.

YouTube views

509,769

Score snapshot 15 Sept 2025

Apple Podcasts (US)

5.0 / 5

6 ratings

Podcast Authority Score: 32 / 100

A composite of feed quality, social presence, YouTube performance and engagement. Read the methodology.

Quality

14

Social presence

0

YouTube

93

Engagement

32