Global Polarity podcast covers the global transition to multipolarity and the geoeconomics and geopolitical events, news and diplomacy that transpires. <br/><br/><a href="https://globalpolarity.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast">globalpolarity.substack.com</a>
Global Polarity
Claim This Podcastby Critical analysis of international relations and the emerging multipolar order
12 episodes
Updated Bi-weekly
Accepts GuestsHas Sponsors
7
Podcast Authority
BetaPoorBased on show quality, social media presence, reviews, charts, and more
Quality13
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YouTube0
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Podcast Overview
Global Polarity podcast covers the global transition to multipolarity and the geoeconomics and geopolitical events, news and diplomacy that transpires. <br/><br/><a href="https://globalpolarity.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast">globalpolarity.substack.com</a>
Language
🇺🇲
Publishing Since
7/13/2024
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7
Podcast Authority
BetaPoorBased on show quality, social media presence, reviews, charts, and more
Quality13
Social0
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excellent
Episode Length
33 minutes
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Recent Episodes
April 17, 2026
BRICS+ and the New West Asian Security Architecture
<p>American decline is increasingly characterised by military overextension, immense debt, and political instability, with Middle Eastern conflicts like those in Iran, Iraq, and Afghanistan acting as catalysts for this decline. The US struggles to maintain its unipolar hegemony against emerging rivals, using waning military dominance to secure interests, often resulting in “forever wars” that exhaust resources, diminish global credibility, and damage the domestic economy.</p><p><strong>Key Aspects of US Decline in the Middle East:</strong></p><p>* <strong>Military Overreach and Failed Wars:</strong> The US has suffered losses or failed to achieve long-term success in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan, with ongoing interventions in West Asia (e.g., Syria, Yemen, and Iran) exhausting financial and military resources.</p><p>* <strong>The Iran Conflict and Diminishing Power:</strong> Recent confrontations with Iran are seen as a high-risk attempt to assert dominance, with analysts arguing that escalating wars in the region under the Trump administration is accelerating American decline and proving the end of US hegemony and turn to imperium.</p><p>* <strong>Economic Strain:</strong> The US faces significant economic challenges, including a national debt surpassing $34 trillion, which restricts its ability to maintain its global military presence (750+ bases).</p><p>* <strong>Geopolitical Shifts:</strong> Regional actors and rivals like China and Russia are exploiting US limitations in West Asian, while allies are increasingly drifting from US influence and post WWII world order.</p><p>* <strong>Internal Turmoil:</strong> The decline is not just external; deep internal political polarisation, the 2021 Capitol riot, and economic inequality are cited as signs of a “decaying empire”.</p> <br/><br/>Get full access to Global Polarity at <a href="https://globalpolarity.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4">globalpolarity.substack.com/subscribe</a>
March 24, 2026
On Iran and Trump's Taco Tuesday
<p>Despite Trump’s offer to negotiate a “complete total resolution” of hostilities, for Iran, no-one believes anything the US president says. Bitter experience has led Iran and many other countries, especially those of the Global South, not to place any credence on his diplomacy or negotiation tactics.</p><p>The original threat, issued on Saturday, warned that the U.S. would “obliterate” Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure if the <strong>Strait of Hormuz</strong> was not fully reopened to all shipping traffic.</p><p>Key Details of the “Backdown”</p><p>* <strong>Five-Day Reprieve</strong>: Trump instructed the Department of War to <strong>postpone all military strikes</strong> for a five-day period to allow for ongoing negotiations.</p><p>* <strong>Diplomatic Channels</strong>: Trump stated that his envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, had been in talks with a “respected” Iranian leader. However, Iranian officials, including <strong>Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf</strong>, denied that any formal negotiations had occurred, dismissing the claims as “fake news”.</p><p>* <strong>Retaliation Threats</strong>: The reversal followed a stark warning from Tehran that it would strike power and desalination plants across the Middle East—specifically those supplying U.S. military bases—if the U.S. targeted Iranian infrastructure.</p><p>* <strong>Economic Impact</strong>: Following the announcement of the pause, global <strong>oil prices plunged</strong> and major U.S. stock indexes saw significant gains as market fears of an immediate escalation eased.</p><p>While Trump framed the delay as a chance for peace, he maintained a aggressive stance, telling reporters that if talks fail, “we’ll just keep bombing our little hearts out”.</p><p>“TACO” is a Wall Street acronym standing for <strong>“Trump Always Chickens Out,”</strong> used to describe Donald Trump’s tendency to threaten strict tariffs or foreign policy actions, only to back down or delay them later. Coined around May 2025, it refers to the “TACO trade”—buying stocks low during the initial threat and selling higher after the reversal.</p><p><strong>Key Aspects of TACO:</strong></p><p>* <strong>Meaning:</strong> Trump Always Chickens Out.</p><p>* <strong>Context:</strong> Used in the financial sector regarding trade wars and tariff threats (e.g., against China or Europe) that are subsequently reversed or reduced.</p><p>* <strong>Wall Street Reaction:</strong> Investors often use this pattern to predict market rebounds, treating the threats as negotiations rather than permanent policy.</p><p>* <strong>Trump’s Response:</strong> Trump has criticized the term as “nasty,” arguing that his actions are not backing down but rather a “negotiation” tactic of starting with high demands.</p><p>* <strong>Origin:</strong> The term gained prominence in May 2025 regarding the “Liberation Day” tariffs.</p><p>The term is often applied to foreign policy situations where threat reversals occur, such as situations concerning Iran or Greenland.</p><p></p> <br/><br/>Get full access to Global Polarity at <a href="https://globalpolarity.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4">globalpolarity.substack.com/subscribe</a>
August 24, 2025
Alaska Summit Freezes Expectations
<p>The recent talks between Russia and the United States in Alaska, followed closely by the U.S.–Ukraine–Europe meeting in Washington, may have concluded, but their impact continues to unfold. Where does the Russia–Ukraine conflict go from here? After the Alaska meeting, what kind of new diplomatic contest will unfold among the U.S., Europe, Russia, and Ukraine?</p><p>Host Ge Anna joins Josef Mahoney, Professor of Politics and International Relations at East China Normal University; Li Yaqi, Research Assistant, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore; George Tzogopoulos, Director of EU-China Programmes and Senior Research Fellow, at European Institute of Nice.</p><p><a target="_blank" href="https://radio.cgtn.com/podcast/news/1/Panel-Alaska-talks-end-new-diplomatic-struggle-begins/571520">CGTN Radio</a></p><p>Melting Ice and Deep Waters</p><p>Author(s): Ekrem Korkut and Lara B. Fowler</p><p>Source: Natural Resources & Environment, FALL 2019, Vol. 34, No. 2, Mining the Land,</p><p>Mining the Sea (FALL 2019), pp. 27-30</p><p>Published by: American Bar Association</p><p><strong>Arctic is not US' backyard</strong></p><p><strong>Washington's overreaction shows hegemonic mind-set </strong></p><p>By Zhang Yao</p><p><strong>In August of this year, as summer temperatures gradually rose in the Arctic, the geopolitical temperature in the region also seemed to climb. The US conducted four consecutive military exercises in the Arctic in July and August, including the key "Operation Polar Dagger" and "Northern Edge 2025." At the same time, Washington hyped up the so-called "China threat" in the Arctic, particularly when five Chinese research vessels were operating in or near the Arctic around Alaska on scientific missions. The US even dispatched Coast Guard ships and aircraft for surveillance and harassment.</strong></p><p>In recent years, the US has attached increasing importance to the strategic value of the Arctic. Since the Barack Obama administration released the first National Strategy for the Arctic Region in 2013, various US government departments and military branches have issued their own Arctic strategies. The latest of these is the 2024 Arctic Strategy. A common feature of these documents is the growing emphasis on geopolitics and military deployments, while portraying the presence and activities of China and Russia in the Arctic as "threats" to US interests.</p><p>The US has been continuously boosting its military deployments in the Arctic and increasing joint exercises with its allies. Alaska, the US' Arctic territory, has become one of its most important military bases, hosting many military facilities. It also has more fifth-generation fighters than anywhere in the world. The US Navy also reactivated its Second Fleet, with the Arctic as one of its main areas of responsibility. This further deepens NATO's confrontation with Russia in the Arctic. The Pentagon's 2024 Arctic Strategy outlines core goals, including strengthening Arctic military capabilities, deploying high-tech sensors and radar to eliminate blind spots, and cooperating with NATO allies to operate over 250 aircraft that could be deployed for Arctic Operations by 2030. The document explicitly designates Russia as a security threat while accusing China of expanding its influence in the Arctic.</p><p>Since the Donald Trump administration took office, Washington's focus on the Arctic has intensified. The US even floated the idea of making Canada the "51st US state." While such ambitions remain fanciful for now, Canada's defense has long been integrated with the US military. For instance, North American Aerospace Defense Command oversees the airspace of both the US and Canada, and radar stations are deployed across Canada and Greenland. Recently, Denmark signed an agreement with the US that, while maintaining sovereignty over Greenland, effectively allows Washington to expand its defense presence on the island with few restrictions.</p><p>Not long ago, a US nuclear submarine docked for the first time in history in Reykjavik, the capital of Iceland. The Trump administration's renewed Arctic focus stems partly from economic considerations: The US has long emphasized traditional energy development and its associated benefits. With Europe cutting energy ties with Russia following the Ukraine conflict, it has been forced to import costly US energy, and the Arctic's abundant resources fit neatly into US' energy agenda. Moreover, about 80 percent of US rare earth imports come from China, which Washington views as a strategic vulnerability in its trade rivalry with Beijing. Thus, tapping into the Arctic's rare earth potential has become part of the US' long-term strategic considerations. Strategically, enhancing US military deployments in the Arctic and seeking military superiority there are also important tools for containing Russia.</p><p>As the US increasingly views the Arctic as an arena of great-power competition and relies ever more heavily on military means to maintain its dominance, the region has gradually become a new hotspot of geopolitical confrontation. This has heightened tensions and raised the risks of conflict.</p><p>Although the US seems intent on treating the Arctic as its hegemonic preserve, under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea and other relevant international treaties, China and all other countries are fully entitled to conduct scientific research and other legitimate activities in the Arctic. The US' overreaction to the activities of China and others in the region ultimately reflects a classic hegemonic mindset. The Arctic is not America's private domain.</p><p><strong>NB:</strong> The author Zhang Yao is deputy director of the Academic Committee and senior researcher of Shanghai Center for RimPac Strategic and International Studies.</p><p><a target="_blank" href="http://eng.chinamil.com.cn/2025xb/W/A_251464/16404357.html">China Military</a></p> <br/><br/>Get full access to Global Polarity at <a href="https://globalpolarity.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4">globalpolarity.substack.com/subscribe</a>
12 total episodes available
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This podcast updates bi-weekly.
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