Two Weeks to Go – Where is the Momentum? – 10.20.26
Two weeks before Election Day, we’ll discuss daily tracking and note an unusual lack of polling movement in multiple battleground races, with shifts often within the margin of error. Let’s compare this “frozen” environment to prior cycles that saw noticeable swings, but also talk about the nature of turnout models, which can vary by pollster assumptions and weighting. It’s still not a done deal and an “October surprise” could still move the needle amid global and economic uncertainty. Finally, we’ll also look at how the heavy late-cycle negative advertising and dark money may be actually be aimed at depressing turnout rather than persuading voters.
Read a transcript of this episode > (https://johnzogbystrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/Two-Weeks-to-Go-Where-is-the-Momentum_.html)
John Zogby Strategies (https://soundcloud.com/user-890736934-159727849) · Two Weeks to Go – Where is the Momentum_ (https://soundcloud.com/user-890736934-159727849/two-weeks-to-go-where-is-the-1)
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12 Oct 2026
Should Democrats Light the Cigar? 10.12.26
With just 22 days left until election day, John and Jeremy Zogby break down the latest battleground polling and state of the race in this special edition of Real Polling in Real Time. Using Boston Celtics legend Red Auerbach’s famous victory cigar as a metaphor, John and Jeremy analyze whether Democrats are positioned to take back control of Congress—or if late-stage “October Surprises” and voter uncertainty could change the trajectory.
In this episode, we cover:
The “Cigar Test”: Why solid Senate leads in key states like North Carolina, New Hampshire, and Georgia have Democrats pulling out the victory cigars—even if it’s too early to light them.
The “Empty Suit” Problem: How Democrats are capitalizing on anti-Trump sentiment while still struggling to offer concrete policy solutions on core affordability issues.
GOP Desperation & October Surprises: Analyzing internal Republican panic, the fallout from the ICE raid on Rep. Ilhan Omar’s home, and whether high-risk tactics will backfire with independent voters.
Foreign Policy & Escalations: The impact of a surging war in Iran, US-Saudi relations, and a controversial side deal with Vladimir Putin over Russian diesel fuel.
The Final Stretch: How hundreds of millions of dollars are being targeted at just 7 million undecided voters to decide the outcome.
Make sure you’re subscribed to get the latest polling insights as we head into the midterms.
Read a transcript of this episode > (https://johnzogbystrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/Should-Democrats-light-the-Cigar_-10.12.26.html)
John Zogby Strategies (https://soundcloud.com/user-890736934-159727849) · Should Democrats light the Cigar_ 10.12.26 (https://soundcloud.com/user-890736934-159727849/should-democrats-light-the)
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5 Oct 2026
Is It The Democrats’ Election to Lose? – 10.05.26
As the election enters October, can Democrats hold their momentum, or will an unexpected event flip key battleground races? In this episode of Real Polling in Real Time, veteran pollster John Zogby and Jeremy Zogby break down historical “October Surprises” and analyze the latest battleground Senate and gubernatorial polling. They explore key campaign dynamics, including Republican candidates distancing themselves from national strategy, surprising shifts in states like Iowa, and why focusing on local district issues like affordability matters far more than national talking points.
Read a transcript of this episode > (https://johnzogbystrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/Real-Polling-in-Real-Time-with-Zogby-10.05.26.html)
John Zogby Strategies (https://soundcloud.com/user-890736934-159727849) · Is It The Democrats’ Election to Lose? – 10.05.26 (https://soundcloud.com/user-890736934-159727849/is-it-the-democrats-election)
The post Is It The Democrats’ Election to Lose? – 10.05.26 (https://johnzogbystrategies.com/is-it-the-democrats-election-to-lose-10-05-26/) appeared first on John Zogby Strategies (https://johnzogbystrategies.com).
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