A 3-minute briefing on the DFW housing market, every Monday through Saturday, from local real estate agent Kyler Hood.
Each episode covers the latest market numbers, mortgage rates, and builder incentives across Dallas-Fort Worth, with extra attention on new construction in Rockwall, Wylie, Rowlett, and Forney. Sourced facts, no hype, no sales pitch.
Kyler Hood, eXp Realty, TX license #828001.
kylerhood.com | (469) 434-2586
DFW Market Brief, Episode 23 — Friday, October 23, 2026
A history lesson: the 30-year fixed from 1975 to 2025, and why the years near 3 percent were the anomaly, not the baseline. The two zero-rate eras were policy choices, not market gravity, and the practical read is to watch the 10-year Treasury, not the Fed press conference.
The numbers from this episode:
30-year fixed, federal funds rate, and 10-year Treasury yield, 1975 to 2025 (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System; Freddie Mac via FRED)
Zero-rate eras shaded as anomalies: roughly 2008 to 2015 and roughly 2020 to 2022
Early 1980s: the 30-year fixed sat in double digits
Sources:
eXp 2026 Context Deck (Leo Pareja), September 2026 data vintage; underlying data from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Freddie Mac via FRED
Kyler Hood, eXp Realty, TX license #828001. 469-434-2586. https://kylerhood.com (https://l.meta.ai/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fkylerhood.com%2F&h=AUDu9XlL7Cfa55fMvLydKixMoxK88IUtNbcQm_0JbnnCoMH0j2K9sQBd5AIjk24ewLOP18Q8DzPE-cs72wTiGfGGwIdZAZccusJDlcMxhJnqTvgp2OLV9w)
22 Oct 2026
DFW Market Brief, Episode 22 — Thursday, October 22, 2026
Arithmetic, not advice: what does waiting a year for a quarter-point rate drop actually cost? One year of appreciation versus one year of mortgage savings, running about 14 to 1, plus the DFW wrinkle the national math misses and the refi cost nobody puts in the spreadsheet.
The numbers from this episode:
Year 1 appreciation on the median home: plus 9,440 dollars (eXp 2026 Context Deck)
Year 1 mortgage savings from a 0.25 percent rate drop: plus 690 dollars (eXp 2026 Context Deck)
The calculation: 429,100 dollar national median, projected 2.2 percent appreciation for 2027, 30-year conventional loan with 20 percent down, same property both ways
Builder buydowns on select new-construction homes in the 4s and 5s, as of this recording
Sources:
eXp 2026 Context Deck (Leo Pareja), September 2026 data vintage
Builder incentive tracker: https://kylerhood.com/#incentives (https://l.meta.ai/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fkylerhood.com%2F%23incentives&h=AUDu9XlL7Cfa55fMvLydKixMoxK88IUtNbcQm_0JbnnCoMH0j2K9sQBd5AIjk24ewLOP18Q8DzPE-cs72wTiGfGGwIdZAZccusJDlcMxhJnqTvgp2OLV9w)
Kyler Hood, eXp Realty, TX license #828001. 469-434-2586. https://kylerhood.com (https://l.meta.ai/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fkylerhood.com%2F&h=AUDu9XlL7Cfa55fMvLydKixMoxK88IUtNbcQm_0JbnnCoMH0j2K9sQBd5AIjk24ewLOP18Q8DzPE-cs72wTiGfGGwIdZAZccusJDlcMxhJnqTvgp2OLV9w)
21 Oct 2026
DFW Market Brief, Episode 21 — Wednesday, October 21, 2026
246 of the 300 largest metros saw prices rise from a year ago, while existing-home sales have sat near 4 million a year since 2023. The correction already happened, and it happened in the transaction count, not in prices. What that means for DFW buyers and sellers, and why the real discounts are hiding in incentives instead of list prices.
The numbers from this episode:
246 of the 300 largest metro markets saw prices increase year over year in September; 54 saw prices fall (ResiClub Analytics, via the eXp 2026 Context Deck)
Existing-home sales volumes near 4 million a year since 2023 (National Association of Realtors, via the eXp 2026 Context Deck)
Inventory growth: up 5.9 percent from 2025 to 2026, versus up 28.9 percent from 2024 to 2025 (ResiClub; Zillow market heat index, via the eXp 2026 Context Deck)
DFW September: closed sales down 6.6 percent, median price down 1.6 percent (MetroTex, via DFW Agent Magazine)
Sources:
ResiClub Analytics, September 2026 data, via the eXp 2026 Context Deck (Leo Pareja)
National Association of Realtors annual data, via the eXp 2026 Context Deck (Leo Pareja)
Zillow market heat index, via the eXp 2026 Context Deck (Leo Pareja)
DFW Agent Magazine, MetroTex September 2026 release: https://dfwagentmagazine.com/2026/10/13/metrotex-housing-report-sept-26/ (https://l.meta.ai/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fdfwagentmagazine.com%2F2026%2F10%2F13%2Fmetrotex-housing-report-sept-26%2F&h=AUDu9XlL7Cfa55fMvLydKixMoxK88IUtNbcQm_0JbnnCoMH0j2K9sQBd5AIjk24ewLOP18Q8DzPE-cs72wTiGfGGwIdZAZccusJDlcMxhJnqTvgp2OLV9w)
Kyler Hood, eXp Realty, TX license #828001. 469-434-2586. https://kylerhood.com (https://l.meta.ai/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fkylerhood.com%2F&h=AUDu9XlL7Cfa55fMvLydKixMoxK88IUtNbcQm_0JbnnCoMH0j2K9sQBd5AIjk24ewLOP18Q8DzPE-cs72wTiGfGGwIdZAZccusJDlcMxhJnqTvgp2OLV9w)
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