Macro & Flow: The Weekly Narrative
By Orestes Capital Management
Cut through the noise. Find the signal. Follow the flow.
In an era of information overload, Macro & Flow provides the definitive institutional briefing for the sophisticated investor. Hosted by Marcus and Elena, this weekly deep dive moves beyond headlines to analyze the structural forces driving global markets.
Each episode is anchored by the proprietary OCM PCA Model, our quantitative engine for identifying shifting macro regimes, factor loadings, and policy liquidity trends.
The Rally That Could Trigger Forced Liquidation - October 4, 2026
The biggest risk to markets may not be the next selloff. It may be the rally itself.
In this episode of Macro & Flows, we examine how a powerful market rebound can collide with leverage, crowded positioning, and fragile liquidity—and potentially create the conditions for forced liquidation.
Markets can look healthy on the surface even as pressure builds underneath. When positioning becomes stretched and investors are forced to chase price action, seemingly bullish moves can amplify risk rather than reduce it. The question is no longer simply whether markets can keep rising, but what happens when liquidity, leverage, and positioning all begin moving in the same direction.
We break down the forces driving the rally, where the hidden vulnerabilities are building, and why the next major market dislocation could emerge from a move few investors are positioned to fear: prices going higher first.
Disclosure: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Markets involve risk, and listeners should conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
27 Sept 2026
The Bond Squeeze Is Exposing Fragile Market Plumbing - September 27, 2026
The bond market is sending a warning—and it goes deeper than rising yields.
In this episode of Macro & Flows, we examine the increasingly fragile plumbing underneath global markets as higher rates, tighter liquidity, and crowded positioning collide. What looks like a simple selloff in Treasuries can quickly become something more consequential when leverage, dealer balance sheets, systematic strategies, and funding pressures begin reinforcing one another.
We break down why the latest bond squeeze matters, how stress in rates can transmit across equities and credit, and why liquidity—not just fundamentals—can determine the magnitude of the next market move.
The bigger question is whether markets are simply repricing a higher-rate environment—or whether the financial system is becoming increasingly vulnerable to the next forced unwind.
Macro & Flows follows the institutional positioning, liquidity, and cross-asset signals shaping markets beneath the headlines.
Disclosure: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Markets involve risk, and listeners should conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
21 Sept 2026
Algorithms Buy the Dip While Humans Run for Cover - September 20, 2026
Markets are sending a striking signal: while discretionary investors retreat, systematic strategies keep buying.
In this episode of Macro & Flows, we examine the widening divide between human caution and algorithmic demand—and what it reveals about today’s market structure. Are machines identifying genuine value, mechanically responding to volatility and momentum signals, or simply postponing a broader repricing?
We break down how systematic flows, positioning, liquidity, and investor psychology can reinforce rallies even as conviction weakens beneath the surface. We also explore what could happen when those same models reverse, why apparent resilience may be more fragile than it looks, and which signals matter most when machines become the market’s marginal buyer.
For investors trying to distinguish durable strength from flow-driven support, this episode offers a framework for understanding who is buying, why they are buying, and what could force them to stop.
Disclosure: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Markets involve risk, and listeners should conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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