Investigations into Federal Reserve policy, tested against 90 years of archival documents.

Monetary Blog | FOMC Insight Engine
Claim This Podcastby Konstantin Milevskiy
Podcast Overview
Investigations into Federal Reserve policy, tested against 90 years of archival documents.
Language
πΊπ²
Publishing Since
1/14/2026
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Recent Episodes

July 10, 2026
The Slate: The Inference traced a rate cut timed for December, waiting on a supply-side finding the new task forces were to certify by year-end. On July 9 the Federal Reserve named the people who will certify it. Read against what each has spent a decade concluding, the roster is the finding.
Warsh named fifteen independent experts to examine whether the Fed's methods can be improved. Each panel pairs a directional coalition with a credible counterweight: the coalition sets the direction, the counterweight sets the boundary β and the opponents he chose are what make the result credible.

June 18, 2026
The Inference: The first meeting under the new chair installed the framework the series predicted β and set the schedule that delivers the cut.
Kevin Warsh's first FOMC meeting installed the framework the series predicted, on a schedule that points to a December cut β licensed by a productivity payoff the Fed cannot yet measure...

May 22, 2026
The Game: The program has been announced. The implementation has begun. The chair does not need to win a majority for a standalone cut on the merits of incoming inflation data, because he has changed what the committee will be voting on.
Kevin Warsh's confirmation testimony committed the next Federal Reserve chairmanship to a coordinated balance-sheet and rate-cut program. He was sworn in and elected FOMC chair on May 22. The Coordination documented the architecture; The Analogue documented the look-through framework now being applied. The Game reads the opening moves.
23 total episodes available
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