Reuploads from Nassim Nicholas Taleb's YouTube channel (www.youtube.com/@nntalebproba). This is NOT an official channel of his, just a "fan" who wanted to have the conferences and conversations available in this format. If there is any issue with this, I will take down the content. Just reach out to @thejuansuero on X or thejuansuero@gmail.com Hopefully some of you find this useful!

N N Taleb's Probability Questions (UNOFFICIAL)
Claim This Podcastby Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Unofficial) (Uploaded by Juan Suero)
Podcast Overview
Reuploads from Nassim Nicholas Taleb's YouTube channel (www.youtube.com/@nntalebproba). This is NOT an official channel of his, just a "fan" who wanted to have the conferences and conversations available in this format. If there is any issue with this, I will take down the content. Just reach out to @thejuansuero on X or thejuansuero@gmail.com Hopefully some of you find this useful!
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Publishing Since
11/11/2025
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Recent Episodes

November 11, 2025
Sornette vs. Taleb Diametrically Opposite Approaches to Risk & Predictability (2014)
<p>An ETH sponsored meeting and debate between Nassim Taleb and Didier Sornette. Edited to eliminate the parts of the conversation not involving either but otherwise comprehensive.A "diplomatic debate" is defined by Taleb as a conversation in which one looks for synthesis (as opposed to one in which one is trying, as in war, to win the argument, as with political debates). Clearly this type of debate only works when the two parties have mutual respect for each other.</p><p>Original: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vuvbghZuM8U</p>

November 11, 2025
Nassim Nicholas Taleb Lebanon: From Ponzi to Localism (2019)
<p>A presentation at USJ during the Lebanese protests that was live on TV.In the Lebanese "dialect".</p><p>Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=53uW9Xd_JRU</p>

November 11, 2025
Tail risk of contagious diseases: a conversation with coauthor Pasquale Cirillo (2020)
<p>Paper in Nature Physics on "the dog wags the tails", how pandemics are fat tailed and the implications.<a href="https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa1hpeUZfM2xVdlpGNDhKOUFycTM3cmVpM2tTUXxBQ3Jtc0trRTdBSThpQklzaDZHY21NQklqWXJteXNJcFdlbkg0cDlKTzYyVzhydl9lcWlCSFFUYkdYeUduVUM0RDQyTkctbVJOSmg3NkpRSjU3WWM2Z0RFeEdEdEN0RzQtdWZIa2pHRVFobVJnTV83NHJaY2R0TQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41567-020-0921-x&v=ggrW6qi0qZQ" target="_blank" rel="ugc noopener noreferrer">https://www.nature.com/articles/s4156...</a>We also discuss the dangers of verbalistic users of statistical buzzwords without understanding probability s.a. BS vendor Philip Tetlock. They produce one point estimates for distributions with unstable, unknown or infinite moments, which is pseudoscience.We propose basic probability training. “Learn probability for years before learning statistics, or you will hurt yourself”.Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggrW6qi0qZQ</p>
13 total episodes available
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