一档未雨绸缪的中年危机播客。
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June 6, 2026
094 私募界的爱马仕，和「养马」最重要的事
<p>正如大部分普通人不应该天天油盐柴米不顾，而沉迷买爱马仕一样，在投资的世界里，我们也要避免这样一种误区：<strong>忽略或者看低稳健型/低波产品，却一心在“高波/高收益”的策略里扑腾。</strong></p><p>今天，<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/mp/wappoc_appmsgcaptcha?poc_token=HDgCI2qjLL0NW6toEXp-eL2ogEpwnhjfDXX3vv4-&target_url=https%3A%2F%2Fmp.weixin.qq.com%2Fs%3F__biz%3DMzg5NDIzODIwOQ%3D%3D%26mid%3D2247510284%26idx%3D1%26sn%3D11b293f0e31671f789b28cc8b4d9dcd7%26scene%3D21#wechat_redirect">春晓</a>和<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/mp/wappoc_appmsgcaptcha?poc_token=HEMCI2qjoP4F8ukJ8xkr0bntZnZjVz5Hdu21uPaA&target_url=https%3A%2F%2Fmp.weixin.qq.com%2Fs%3F__biz%3DMzg5NDIzODIwOQ%3D%3D%26mid%3D2247491159%26idx%3D1%26sn%3D647004bb1183b7251e79ee0246336cb5%26scene%3D21%26token%3D322820353%26lang%3Dzh_CN#wechat_redirect">思捷</a>来一起聊聊，我们如何以正确的姿势看待私募界的“爱马仕”，以及在“养马”之前，我们作为家庭理财决策者，真正该操心的事。</p><p></p><p><strong>【本期时间线】</strong></p><p><a class="timestamp">02:34</a> 为啥FOF产品的结构和打法注定结果“平庸”，和高波策略比并不“刺激”</p><p><a class="timestamp">03:23</a> 高波动的来源：单一标的+上杠杆</p><p><a class="timestamp">07:34</a> 高波的定义，主观感受和客观标准</p><p><a class="timestamp">09:54</a> 哪些人并不适合FOF</p><p><a class="timestamp">11:45</a> 大资金低波 vs 小资金高波，哪种更容易赚到钱</p><p><a class="timestamp">13:18</a> 投资对我而言是责任，并非乐趣来源</p><p><a class="timestamp">14:33</a> 为什么有人买三份高波配一份低波？</p><p><a class="timestamp">18:55</a> 信息爆炸时代，找到正确信息，学习了解私募的门槛反而变高了？</p><p><a class="timestamp">24:09</a> 小资金在高波里折腾，不如重仓胜率更高的产品</p><p><a class="timestamp">32:36</a> 别急着跳步：先解决安全感，再操心策略</p><p><a class="timestamp">37:31</a> 高波就是私募界的奢侈品，锦上添花</p><p><a class="timestamp">39:35</a> 为什么不建议把高波收益当收入来源</p><p><a class="timestamp">43:59</a> 阿尔法终究会被稀释，越早参与市场的人，越容易拿到红利</p><p></p><p><strong>拿得住，才最好，欢迎回顾配置专题：</strong><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/podcast-topic/65fa2ba9696bd9a879356c8d"><strong>轻轻松松聊，明明白白投</strong></a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/6a0ecb0ae1eb34a939d4f3a8?s=eyJ1IjogIjY1MjdhMWJlZWRjZTY3MTA0YTZmZjgwNSJ9">《为啥真正胆小的人，都在悄悄配高波》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/69f2e1609a7ce76acad0da9d">《从All In到平衡，人生太有限，选择不赌》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/69c3372d4ca458dd4435166c">《和思捷聊动荡中的配置》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/6968d053109824f9e1a544a9">《2026怎么配，我们想到一块儿去了》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68ff538a01567203214432fc">《聊聊2025年到底谁赚钱了？》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68cbaeb82c82c9dcca001d67">《量化投资的底层逻辑》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68a7e33742cc2798e7d134ee">《赚钱的三种逻辑》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/6895ad9e638b0158799979e7">《既想参与牛市又不想高位接盘怎么整》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68551f974abe6e29cb20c175">《我们问了问身边最聪明的朋友在买啥》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/682ad3e7fcbc2e206ba18526">《这是怎么了，稳健策略居然不要我的钱》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/67f51340f9578163d6cf8da2">《狂跌日的灵魂拷问！危机中的战斗机！》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/67d125e0e924d4525a0a42ca">《“投高频狂赚”执念必破，除非做策略的是你爸》</a></p><p></p><p><strong>【本期主播】</strong></p><p><strong>春晓</strong>：80后。北京、纽约、香港、上海各自生活过5年，现居成都。</p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=Mzg5NDIzODIwOQ==&mid=2247510284&idx=1&sn=11b293f0e31671f789b28cc8b4d9dcd7&scene=21#wechat_redirect">《看遍天才，她说人才是唯一的 Alpha》</a></p><p><strong>思捷：</strong><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=Mzg5NDIzODIwOQ==&mid=2247491159&idx=1&sn=647004bb1183b7251e79ee0246336cb5&scene=21&token=322820353&lang=zh_CN#wechat_redirect">《100个博士帮你赚钱，还不用发薪水》</a></p><p></p><p><strong>【收听平台】</strong></p><p>「不觉春晓」现已上线多个播客平台，您可以在Apple播客、小宇宙、喜马拉雅、蜻蜓FM、荔枝FM、QQ 音乐、网易云音乐、四川观察APP中搜索「不觉春晓」，订阅我们并收听。</p><p></p><p><strong>📮播客「不觉春晓」联系邮箱：chunxiao@gmail.com</strong></p><br><a href="https://oia.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/player/6a2368c5b30e1571aea16d93?openTranscript=true&utm_source=rss&as=cHQ9MTIyNjE5MjQ3JmN0PXJzcyZtdD04&autoOpen=false">在小宇宙查看该单集文稿</a>
May 28, 2026
093 一个INTJ基金经理眼里的量化CTA
<p>本期嘉宾<strong>雷闻</strong>，衍合投资CTA投资经理，2012年开始耕耘量化CTA，INTJ。</p><p></p><p><strong>【本期时间线】</strong></p><p><a class="timestamp">02:37</a> 为什么INTJ人蛮适合做量化</p><p><a class="timestamp">05:58</a> CTA（Commodity Trading Advisor）趋势跟踪策略的前世今生</p><p><a class="timestamp">08:33</a> 量化的本质是一种思考方式</p><p><strong>从根源上讲CTA为什么有效：</strong></p><p><a class="timestamp">14:17</a> 神秘大单降临，反应迅速一把跟上</p><p><a class="timestamp">16:48</a> 赚了就跑，亏了硬抗，人性也会制造机会</p><p><a class="timestamp">18:31</a> 趋势跟踪的形成，需要反应不足+过度反应</p><p><a class="timestamp">22:18</a> 回撤时就硬抗需要对团队和策略有根本信心</p><p><a class="timestamp">24:28</a> 仓位管理的重要性，反直觉：波动越猛，仓位要收</p><p><a class="timestamp">28:15</a> CTA不能只靠趋势，要往里加创新</p><p><a class="timestamp">29:47</a> 宏观也能量化？有数据的地方，就能挖规律</p><p><a class="timestamp">33:00</a> 分散，是风控的第一性原理</p><p><a class="timestamp">39:16</a> 自己为家庭理财也买指数，有些配置在不靠聪明赚钱</p><p><a class="timestamp">42:23</a> 遇到回撤，跟PM聊什么才能帮助自己做出选择</p><p><a class="timestamp">43:24</a> 只挑CTA的话，别押一种，也要分散</p><p><a class="timestamp">48:08</a> 世界不会太平静，长期看好CTA</p><p></p><img src="https://image.xyzcdn.net/FnJ7-Cl9756mdPMmlqy4AJ204mWe.png"><p>（<a class="timestamp">09:44</a> 提到的CTA策略指数图，标的为国外CTA基金）</p><p></p><p><strong>欢迎回顾量化配置专栏：</strong><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/podcast-topic/65fa2ba9696bd9a879356c8d"><strong>轻轻松松聊，明明白白投</strong></a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/6a0ecb0ae1eb34a939d4f3a8?s=eyJ1IjogIjY1MjdhMWJlZWRjZTY3MTA0YTZmZjgwNSJ9">《为啥真正胆小的人，都在悄悄配高波》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/69f2e1609a7ce76acad0da9d">《从All In到平衡，人生太有限，选择不赌》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/69c3372d4ca458dd4435166c">《和思捷聊动荡中的配置》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/6968d053109824f9e1a544a9">《2026怎么配，我们想到一块儿去了》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68ff538a01567203214432fc">《聊聊2025年到底谁赚钱了？》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68cbaeb82c82c9dcca001d67">《量化投资的底层逻辑》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68a7e33742cc2798e7d134ee">《赚钱的三种逻辑》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/6895ad9e638b0158799979e7">《既想参与牛市又不想高位接盘怎么整》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68551f974abe6e29cb20c175">《我们问了问身边最聪明的朋友在买啥》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/682ad3e7fcbc2e206ba18526">《这是怎么了，稳健策略居然不要我的钱》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/67f51340f9578163d6cf8da2">《狂跌日的灵魂拷问！危机中的战斗机！》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/67d125e0e924d4525a0a42ca">《“投高频狂赚”执念必破，除非做策略的是你爸》</a></p><p></p><p><strong>【本期主播】</strong></p><p><strong>春晓</strong>：80后。北京、纽约、香港、上海各自生活过5年，现居成都。</p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=Mzg5NDIzODIwOQ==&mid=2247510284&idx=1&sn=11b293f0e31671f789b28cc8b4d9dcd7&scene=21#wechat_redirect">《看遍天才，她说人才是唯一的 Alpha》</a></p><p></p><p><strong>【收听平台】</strong></p><p>「不觉春晓」现已上线多个播客平台，您可以在Apple播客、小宇宙、喜马拉雅、蜻蜓FM、荔枝FM、QQ 音乐、网易云音乐、四川观察APP中搜索「不觉春晓」，订阅我们并收听。</p><p></p><p><strong>📮播客「不觉春晓」联系邮箱：chunxiao@gmail.com</strong></p><p></p><br><a href="https://oia.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/player/6a1801edac7bdb080c3225b8?openTranscript=true&utm_source=rss&as=cHQ9MTIyNjE5MjQ3JmN0PXJzcyZtdD04&autoOpen=false">在小宇宙查看该单集文稿</a>
May 21, 2026
092 为啥真正胆小的人，都在悄悄配高波
<p>为啥真正胆小的人，都在<strong>配高波</strong>？真相扎心，听完这期我和<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/698c494066e2c3037701eea8">雨晴</a>的分享，希望你对<strong>高波动</strong>有不一样的认知，对自己也有<strong>更清晰的底层挖掘</strong>。</p><p></p><p><strong>【本期时间线】</strong></p><p>01:10 苦不苦，吓不吓，问问找哥们儿讨债8年的主播</p><p>10:30 长期来看，很多投资比借钱给哥们儿靠谱</p><p>13:46 什么是波动？高波动必然带来高收益吗？</p><p>18:11 曲线太迷人了，雨晴看一眼忍不住幻想翻几倍</p><p>23:50 以前吃香的定存行不通了，保本保息的理财时代已经结束</p><p>26:08 只有配一点高波动资产，才可能长期跑赢通胀</p><p>27:37 算术题：假设年化15-20%，拿几年能翻倍？</p><p>30:09 高波策略有哪些，合格投资者能配置到什么主流产品</p><p>32:45 赚到钱了，才是实打实的多巴胺</p><p>36:54 在2024市场最低迷时，我加了指增</p><p>37:42 配置， 不需要天才也能做好</p><p>37:58 我想住个顶流养老院，所以必须要这么配</p><p>39:57 不总是一进场就立刻赚钱，用长期主义去对待</p><p>40:41 不满仓，不上杠杆，投资是为了睡得更香</p><p>42:13 <strong>聊到最后，总结4点</strong></p><p>①波动只是衡量净值涨跌幅度的指标</p><p>②越来越低的无风险利率，配置注定绕不开高波动配置</p><p>③心态、纪律和持有的期限，其实更关键</p><p>④赚钱是为了生活，活得更好才是目标</p><p></p><p><strong>欢迎回顾量化配置专栏：</strong><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/podcast-topic/65fa2ba9696bd9a879356c8d"><strong>轻轻松松聊，明明白白投</strong></a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/69f2e1609a7ce76acad0da9d">《从All In到平衡，人生太有限，选择不赌》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/69c3372d4ca458dd4435166c">《和思捷聊动荡中的配置》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/6968d053109824f9e1a544a9">《2026怎么配，我们想到一块儿去了》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68ff538a01567203214432fc">《聊聊2025年到底谁赚钱了？》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68cbaeb82c82c9dcca001d67">《量化投资的底层逻辑》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68a7e33742cc2798e7d134ee">《赚钱的三种逻辑》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/6895ad9e638b0158799979e7">《既想参与牛市又不想高位接盘怎么整》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/68551f974abe6e29cb20c175">《我们问了问身边最聪明的朋友在买啥》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/682ad3e7fcbc2e206ba18526">《这是怎么了，稳健策略居然不要我的钱》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/67f51340f9578163d6cf8da2">《狂跌日的灵魂拷问！危机中的战斗机！》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/67d125e0e924d4525a0a42ca">《“投高频狂赚”执念必破，除非做策略的是你爸》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/67beabd105a90dfd0df00fb3">《终于，让我们说人话接地气地聊聊CTA｜量化配置之绝对收益篇》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/67b2ea3205a90dfd0dff4efe">《敢问把股票当房子配置的人后来都怎么样了？走进量化配置之指数增强》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episode/6777d0221e823e72d3fb6d9c">《量化配置大实话：卖房卖了500万，买两个产品就够了？》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/66015ee52d9eae5d0aee910d">《采访过1000位量化人体印钞机后，决定加入他们》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/65e6c01e9bf20df4c8b82916">《史无前例量化大崩盘后还能爱吗？》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/659cc3472e26fb9934b4857b">《把量化产品作为家庭理财压舱石》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/658917e720d779b49ddfd648">《买买买的五大巨坑！》</a></p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/65669cc451ba721857599eee">《哈哈哈和买买买，和思捷聊聊中年少女的消费和理财》</a></p><p></p><p><strong>【本期主播】</strong></p><p><strong>春晓</strong>：80后。北京、纽约、香港、上海各自生活过5年，现居成都。</p><p><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=Mzg5NDIzODIwOQ==&mid=2247510284&idx=1&sn=11b293f0e31671f789b28cc8b4d9dcd7&scene=21#wechat_redirect">《看遍天才，她说人才是唯一的 Alpha》</a></p><p><strong>雨晴：</strong><a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/episodes/698c494066e2c3037701eea8">《一个95后决定整顿家庭负债端》</a></p><p></p><p><strong>【收听平台】</strong></p><p>「不觉春晓」现已上线多个播客平台，您可以在Apple播客、小宇宙、喜马拉雅、蜻蜓FM、荔枝FM、QQ 音乐、网易云音乐、四川观察APP中搜索「不觉春晓」，订阅我们并收听。</p><p></p><p><strong>📮播客「不觉春晓」联系邮箱：chunxiao@gmail.com</strong></p>
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