每天三到五分鐘 Ashin帶你關注今日股市重點 千叮寧萬交代注意事項 希望你每天操作順利~
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股海_Ashin晨間碎碎念
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585 episodes
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Podcast Overview
每天三到五分鐘 Ashin帶你關注今日股市重點 千叮寧萬交代注意事項 希望你每天操作順利~ 若你喜歡我的頻道 記得訂閱分享或關注我的專案 https://reurl.cc/3DpqNO 追蹤我的ig：@ashinstock
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Publishing Since
5/28/2020
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Recent Episodes
April 10, 2023
0410本週重點注意事項！！
<p>上禮拜五美國股市休市，我們也剛好遇到清明連假</p> <p>這禮拜最重要的觀察方向在於＂成交量＂！！</p> <p>原因在於上禮拜成交量非常的小，因此這禮拜量增的可能性非常高，假設量增但是股價卻破了上禮拜的收盤價，週線會形成價跌量增，對於整個型態來說就不是好現象</p> <p>另外這禮拜三要公布CPI的通膨數據，禮拜五則是要公布密西根大學消費者信心指數</p> <p>目前通膨雖然已經降溫，但是還沒有達到聯準會的目標，因此市場預估五月份依然會升息一碼</p> <p>只是現在市場關注的重點會放在何時停止升息？</p> <p>當聯準會暫停升息之後，除了代表他們認為通膨見頂之外，也有可能他們認為經濟衰退的機率增加了</p> <p>不過下一次開會是在5月的時候，目前的操作想法還是順著市場的氣氛來走就好</p>
March 23, 2023
0323升息一碼，符合預期～但是美股卻開高走低！
<p>昨天美股四大指數都是下跌的，首先來聊一下昨天的FOMC會議</p> <p>1. 升息一碼，這是符合市場預期；但是鮑威爾提到今年都不會降息</p> <p>這部分其實聯準會說得很清楚，通膨沒有達到2%目標之前，聯準會不會開始降息，但是降息的言論都是市場自己一廂情願的</p> <p>2. 利率即將到達終點</p> <p>預期可能5月份再升息一碼，之後就會開始暫緩升息，這部分也是符合市場預期</p> <p>3. 葉論表示美國存款保險公司不會給銀行存款提供全面擔保</p> <p>市場最擔心的就是銀行股是否又會出現擠兌風暴，之前矽谷銀行的事件有說存款將會獲得保障，因此在現在各家銀行存款都普遍流失的情況下，擔心後續又會出現擠兌風暴</p> <p>總結來說～這次FOMC會議講的東西並沒有太出人意料，算是都符合原本市場的預期，因此可以說過去一段的漲幅其實市場有點在預期聯準會的這次想法，而這一次聯準會對於未來的想法也是按照之後公布的經濟數據來判斷，因此操作上的想法就是不預設立場，順著盤面氣氛來操作就是了</p>
March 20, 2023
0320觀察大事即將發生的領先指標？
<p>上禮拜五美股四大指數都還是下跌的，目前強勢的還是在科技股的部分，傳產或是銀行類股的走勢還是比較疲弱</p> <p>很多人都在問說到底市場會不會發生什麼事件？這邊給大家一個觀察指標就是VIX</p> <p>像是上禮拜的VIX指數雖然也是飆高，但是可以發現並沒有過上上禮拜的高點，因此只要恐慌指數不要再創高，針對眼前發生的事件市場就會認為風險並不大，但是萬一發現恐慌指數又比上禮拜還要高，我們就要小心市場是不是會有更大的事情要發生？</p> <p>畢竟恐慌指數他就是一個領先指標，觀察指標的狀況來輔助我們操作，就不需要預設立場了</p> <p>另外這禮拜的大事就是3/23 凌晨的FOMC會議，目前市場預估升息一碼的機率較高，只是能否像是市場預估的情況還不得而知，因此在這種重大事件發布的時候，資金還是要稍微控制一下</p> <p>總之以現在的狀況，止跌的先決條件是站上五日均線，脫離危險期則是要站上五週均線</p> <p>但是發現這兩個都沒有站上，並且把十週均線都跌破，大家操作就要小心一點了</p>
585 total episodes available
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