A podcast about the nascent prediction markets industry, including news, analysis and legal insights at Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt and beyond. Produced and hosted by Dustin Gouker.
nexteventhorizon.substack.com (https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast)
Episode 37: Betting Intelligence With Dan Zimmermann Of BETINT
We all know that prediction market behavior can be used a signal for real-world events, and sometimes insider trading. I spoke with Dan Zimmermann, Chief Intelligence Officer at BETINT (https://www.bettingintelligence.ai/), to talk about how his company is trying to surface that information in real time.
Plus the week in prediction markets news with Daniel O’Boyle of InGame (https://www.ingame.com/).
Show notes:
-News
DraftKings joins Kalshi with injury protection (https://www.ingame.com/draftkings-dkex-injury-protection/)
CFTC’s New Swap Definitions Are Latest Courtroom Play, But May Not Sway Judges (InGame) (https://www.ingame.com/cftc-new-swap-definitions/): “The rules do two different things that are two sides of the same coin. Number one, amending the swap definition to explicitly include these types of contracts, and the other one amending it to explicitly exclude casino games and sportsbook bets,” one commodity futures lawyer told InGame.
BetMGM talks prediction markets (https://www.ingame.com/betmgm-marketing-prediction-markets-q3/)
Election betting isn’t popular? (https://www.ingame.com/midterm-market-monitor-10-13-26/)
Prediction markets and responsible gaming with NBA/WNBA (https://closingline.substack.com/p/nba-wnba-roll-out-new-responsible-gaming-campaign)
-BETINT
Used by the Wall Street Journal: https://x.com/schwartzbWSJ/status/2108734477182620149?s=20 (https://x.com/schwartzbWSJ/status/2108734477182620149?s=20)
In NBC News (https://www.nbcnews.com/world/russia/big-polymarket-bets-placed-vladimir-putin-downfall-rcna352604?utm_source=chatgpt.com)
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com (https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1)
12 Oct 2026
Episode 36: Trading On The Past, With Verifact CEO Rodrigo Aquino
A market where you can trade about the past? As soon as I saw that, I had to talk to the CEO of Verifact!
Plus a look at recent developments in prediction markets with Daniel O’Boyle of InGame (https://www.ingame.com/).
Show notes:
News
SCOTUS briefs and Seminoles sue DraftKings (https://www.ingame.com/seminole-tribe-sues-draftkings/):
Seminoles Sue DraftKings; NFL, AGA File SCOTUS Briefs (https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/seminoles-sue-draftkings-nfl-aga-scotus-briefs)
Investigation of the CFTC (https://www.npr.org/2026/10/08/nx-s1-5903204/crypto-prediction-markets-cftc-weakens)
Kalshi fee growth (https://www.ingame.com/kalshi-non-sports-15-minute-crypto/)
Verifact Markets
Site (https://verifact.markets/)
Press release (https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/verifact-markets-unveils-first-trading-platform-to-find-truth-in-disputed-facts-302900214.html): Verifact Markets launches the first trading platform built to resolve disputed facts. This is a new category of markets, focused on topics of public interest where people genuinely disagree about what is true.
“We’re living in the age of disputed facts. Making or amplifying a claim has never been easier. Resolving one has never been harder,” said Rodrigo Aquino, CEO of Verifact Markets. “Our company exists to change that.”
Story at Wired (https://www.wired.com/story/a-prediction-market-about-the-past-sure-why-not/)
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com (https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1)
5 Oct 2026
Episode 35: Prediction Market Data With TickerTracker’s Eric Ramsey
Football season is underway, and prediction markets are booming. But what are the numbers about trading volume at Kalshi, Polymarket and beyond really telling us? Eric Ramsey of TickerTracker (https://ticker-tracker.com/) (and Event Horizon contributor) stops by to break it down.
Plus a look at recent developments in prediction markets with Daniel O’Boyle of InGame (https://www.ingame.com/).
Show notes:
Kalshi raise (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-30/kalshi-finalizing-new-funding-at-40-billion-value-ahead-of-ipo)
Novig too (https://www.wsj.com/finance/sydney-sweeney-backed-novig-quadruples-valuation-to-2-billion-2fb1c936)
Vs. FanDuel and DraftKings valuations
Brad Allen@BradAllenNFL (https://x.com/BradAllenNFL/status/2106007278424035658?s=20)
Kalshi worth nearly twice as much as Flutter and DraftKings combined despite doing significantly less handle than both (we estimate a conversion for PM volume to handle) (https://x.com/BradAllenNFL/status/2106007278424035658?s=20)
Responsible trading
NCPG executive director out (https://closingline.substack.com/p/ncpg-executive-director-resigns)
Polymarket launches responsible trading (https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/polymarket-launches-new-user-protections-and-trust--safety-program-302894374.html)
Sportsbook user who self-excluded started using prediction markets (https://www.npr.org/2026/10/02/nx-s1-5981420/kalshi-betting-prediction-markets-gambling-addiction)
How to pay taxes on prediction markets? (https://closingline.substack.com/p/new-analysis-sports-event-contracts-federal-tax)
Parlays Propel Kalshi To Back-To-Back Volume Records To Open Football Season (https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/parlays-propel-kalshi-to-back-to-back-records)
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com (https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_1)
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Leif Abraham
Daniel O’Boyle
Will Brooke
Robert DeNault
Danieli O’Boyle
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2 ratings
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