by 江小舟Joe
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July 22, 2024
<p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>我们今天聊的风流人物是：股神——沃伦巴菲特。</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>这个是如雷贯耳的名字，江湖上到处都是他的传说。巴菲特这几个字几乎就是价值投资的代名词。目前的94 岁巴菲特掌管的伯克希尔哈撒韦市值9000 多亿美金，接近万亿，这个在人类历史上也非常罕见。</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>本期内容我们会先讲讲巴菲特从小到大经历，他是怎么一步步走上投资之路的，他的投资理念有过哪些些转变，再到他设计了什么样的商业模式，让伯克希尔能源源不断的钱滚钱，利滚利，像雪球越滚越大，达到今天这个水平的。最后，我们会讲讲巴菲特个人生活和他还有讲过的一些比较有启发性的思想实验。</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>时间轴：</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>02:30</span></a><span> 第一站：一个平平无奇的赚钱小天才（师从格雷厄姆、求爱苏珊、发展受阻）</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>22:20</span></a><span> 第二站：合伙公司：我只出 100 美元（筹资单干、与芒格相识、大胆投资美国运通、清退合伙公司)</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>40:33</span></a><span> 第三站：屎里藏金：接手伯克希尔哈撒韦（蓝筹印花、喜诗糖果、华盛顿邮报、联手查理芒格）</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>55:12</span></a><span> 第四站：任性投投投，完了，大意了，投错了（B 夫人、所罗门丑闻、全美航空大亏、投资苹果）</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>84:05</span></a><span> 第五站：生活中的巴菲特（情感生活、三个子女、慈善事业）</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>89:36</span></a><span> 第六节：思想实验（开枪赌命挑战、全美抛硬币实验、保护好你的车、复利的力量）</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>102:48</span></a><span> 第七节：总结本期内容（巴菲特的投资进化、伯克希尔商业模式、价值投资理念）</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>相关照片：</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>巴菲特与苏珊</span></p><img data-key="0" src="https://image.xyzcdn.net/FtzqZcLFA3tPBD-9MO3yjyW-5Jeq.jpeg"><br><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>巴菲特与芒格</span></p><img data-key="1" src="https://image.xyzcdn.net/FovYVNrcOUq8ZuCvOPHGCNwi7v2O.jpg"><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>巴菲特与 B 夫人</span></p><img data-key="2" src="https://image.xyzcdn.net/FlSiX3jHG0lVmNpQ34Y_GWyoO9im.jpg"><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>部分参考资料：</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《巴菲特传》罗杰·洛温斯坦</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《段永平投资问答录》段永平</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>巴菲特讲述两位中小创业者的成功故事：好的生意自己会运转</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>巴菲特是怎样炼成的？深度研究股神的传奇人生</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《巴菲特投资案例集》</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>交个朋友：</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>微信：onesober</span></p><span><br></span><br>
July 4, 2024
<p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>今天聊的风流人物是：</span><span>孙正义</span></p><img data-key="0" src="https://image.xyzcdn.net/FnbeAlv-QfAn4HdGGmwfFpHcgYSj.jpeg"><br><blockquote style="font-size:14px;margin:10px 0px;color:rgb(102, 102, 102);border-left:5px solid rgb(232, 232, 232);padding-left:15px;"><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>最近这些年，我时不时的就会看到孙正义和软银的消息，要么就是大赚、要么就是巨亏，如果把风险投资是描绘成一种赌博的话，孙正义很多时候都会选那种高投入、高风险、高回报的项目，看起来他对风险有很强的偏好性，那这些都和孙正义从小到大的性格形成和过往经历有关，那么孙正义的人生又经历过什么事情，软银是怎么一步步走到今天的呢？有哪些巨大成功和惨痛教训呢？</span></p></blockquote><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>今天，我们今天就来讲讲孙正义人生经历和创业故事。</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>时间轴：</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>02:10</span></a><span> 第一阶段：立大志、求见总裁、退学赴美</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>10:20</span></a><span> 第二阶段：美国求学：神速升学、人生规划、第一桶金</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>18:28</span></a><span> 第三阶段：创办软银、死里逃生、投资雅虎、投资马云</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>30:40</span></a><span> 第四阶段：互联网泡沫破灭、电信业务、阿里上市、买下 ARM</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>39:27</span></a><span> 第五阶段：愿景基金、 Wework、 ARM上市</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>55:52</span></a><span> 当前软银主要业务</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>相关照片：</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>大学时代</span></p><img data-key="1" src="https://image.xyzcdn.net/FnOTvalWyS_KicIXKzfpfZeGozl6.jpeg"><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>投资马云</span></p><img data-key="2" src="https://image.xyzcdn.net/FpZa5OywSavXvoWGhip1pnxhZdlR.jpeg"><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>愿景基金首期募资</span></p><img data-key="3" src="https://image.xyzcdn.net/Fp4GnIO4jWIrNRzZWNuxeRSWpphJ.png"><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>部分参考资料：</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>孙正义各大采访</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>软银官网</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《软银掌舵人》张军</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《软银愿景基金大起底》年年</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>交个朋友：</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>微信：onesober</span></p><span><br></span><br>
June 17, 2024
<p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>我们今天聊的风流人物是：王传福</span></p><blockquote style="font-size:14px;margin:10px 0px;color:rgb(102, 102, 102);border-left:5px solid rgb(232, 232, 232);padding-left:15px;"><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>这一两年比亚迪成为新能源汽车领域全球销量第一的车企，去年的汽车销量更是突破 300 万台，那国内的一众车企老板都认为比亚迪是最后能留在新能源牌桌上的少有的几个车厂之一。那王传福是如何从一个农家小伙子起步，一步一步打造出他的比亚迪帝国呢？这几年比亚迪能异军突起，这背后又经历过什么？</span></p></blockquote><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>今天，请大家随我坐上时光列车，我们一起观光一下，王传福的人生经历和比亚迪的崛起之路。</span></p><span><br></span><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span><b>时光列车：</b></span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>01:27</span></a><span>第一站：如何把烂牌打成王炸：从双亲离世、中专落榜、吃不起饭 到 好大学、好工作、电池专家</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>10:35</span></a><span>第二站：如何抓住历史性机遇：创办比亚迪、成为电池大王、再到汽车新贵、电动车梦想</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>28:40</span></a><span>第三站：如何绝境求生：从高峰到低谷、巴菲特投资比亚迪、问鼎中国首富、退网门事件、至暗时刻、绝地求生</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>41:50</span></a><span>第四站：王传福的漫长坚持：十年磨一剑、泪洒现场</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><a style="color:#4990E2;text-decoration:none;"><span>48:00</span></a><span>第五站：今天的比亚迪帝国：四大业务、空前的成功</span></p><span><br></span><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span><b>相关照片：</b></span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>青年王传福</span></p><img data-key="0" src="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/3195-audiofreehighqps/82/AE/GArM7jcKReO0AASIFALjSfyP.jpeg!op_type=4&upload_type=attachment&device_type=ios&name=mobile_large" data-origin="http://fdfs.xmcdn.com/storages/3195-audiofreehighqps/82/AE/GArM7jcKReO0AASIFALjSfyP.jpeg" data-preview-width="140" data-large="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/3195-audiofreehighqps/82/AE/GArM7jcKReO0AASIFALjSfyP.jpeg!op_type=4&upload_type=attachment&device_type=ios&name=mobile_large" data-large-height="486" data-preview="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/3195-audiofreehighqps/82/AE/GArM7jcKReO0AASIFALjSfyP.jpeg!op_type=4&upload_type=attachment&device_type=ios&name=mobile_small" data-large-width="750" data-preview-height="90"><br><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>比亚迪首款量产汽车 F3</span></p><img data-key="1" src="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/a145-audiofreehighqps/25/B2/GKwRIDoKReO1AAemfALjSfy3.png!op_type=4&upload_type=attachment&device_type=ios&name=mobile_large" data-origin="http://fdfs.xmcdn.com/storages/a145-audiofreehighqps/25/B2/GKwRIDoKReO1AAemfALjSfy3.png" data-preview-width="140" data-large="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/a145-audiofreehighqps/25/B2/GKwRIDoKReO1AAemfALjSfy3.png!op_type=4&upload_type=attachment&device_type=ios&name=mobile_large" data-large-height="451" data-preview="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/a145-audiofreehighqps/25/B2/GKwRIDoKReO1AAemfALjSfy3.png!op_type=4&upload_type=attachment&device_type=ios&name=mobile_small" data-large-width="750" data-preview-height="84"><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>巴菲特投资比亚迪</span></p><img data-key="2" src="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/71b0-audiofreehighqps/03/4A/GKwRIJEKRePAAAPKmwLjSf_h.png!op_type=4&upload_type=attachment&device_type=ios&name=mobile_large" data-origin="http://fdfs.xmcdn.com/storages/71b0-audiofreehighqps/03/4A/GKwRIJEKRePAAAPKmwLjSf_h.png" data-preview-width="140" data-large="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/71b0-audiofreehighqps/03/4A/GKwRIJEKRePAAAPKmwLjSf_h.png!op_type=4&upload_type=attachment&device_type=ios&name=mobile_large" data-large-height="450" data-preview="http://imagev2.xmcdn.com/storages/71b0-audiofreehighqps/03/4A/GKwRIJEKRePAAAPKmwLjSf_h.png!op_type=4&upload_type=attachment&device_type=ios&name=mobile_small" data-large-width="750" data-preview-height="84"><span><br></span><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span><b>特别感谢：</b></span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《王传福采访合集》 B 站</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《王传福传》成杰</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《比亚迪发展历程》胡进</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《比亚迪真相》魏昕/廖小东</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>《芒格之道》芒格</span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>比亚迪发展史相关视频 up 主：猛士团_、智能路障</span></p><span><br></span><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span><b>和主播交个朋友：</b></span></p><p style="color:#333333;font-weight:normal;font-size:16px;line-height:30px;font-family:Helvetica,Arial,sans-serif;hyphens:auto;text-align:justify;" data-flag="normal"><span>微信：onesober</span></p>
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