一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客
美轮美换 The American Roulette
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July 4, 2026
089 | 250岁的美国，站上历史分水岭 America turns 250
<p><strong>【聊了什么】</strong></p> <p>美国250岁了。特朗普政府给它过生日的方式包括：把林肯纪念堂的倒影池刷成国旗蓝（然后看着藻类卷土重来、油漆片片剥落），在肯尼迪中心门口挂上"特朗普"三个字（如今盖在施工围布后面），以及在白宫南草坪架起UFC八角笼（比赛办在总统80岁生日当天）……</p> <p>本期录制于7月2日、独立日前夕。我们追问三个问题：谁在给美国过生日？谁拥有美国历史的解释权？谁是美国人？</p> <p>一辆开了250年的老爷车，正站上历史的分水岭。</p> <p><strong>【支持我们】</strong></p> <p>如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：</p> <p>也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： <a href="https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/">https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/</a></p> <p>会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。</p> <p>合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com</p> <p><strong>【时间轴】</strong></p> <p><a href="#t=01:42">01:42</a> 谁在给美国过生日，怎么过？</p> <p><a href="#t=16:29">16:29</a> 谁出钱、谁办事：企业赞助、隐形成本与三套大庆班子</p> <p><a href="#t=31:27">31:27</a> 谁拥有美国历史的解释权？</p> <p><a href="#t=1:00:41">1:00:41</a> 老爷车开了250年：世界最古老政权的奇迹与政治周期</p> <p><a href="#t=1:09:45">1:09:45</a> 谁是美国人？出生公民权案惊险过关</p> <p><a href="#t=1:32:38">1:32:38</a> 美国的"苏伊士时刻"？250岁与摇晃的国际秩序</p> <p><strong>【我们是谁】</strong></p> <p>美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。</p> <p>本期的主播和嘉宾：</p> <p>Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者</p> <p>王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子</p> <p>Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，纽约诉讼律师</p> <p><strong>【What We Talked About】</strong></p> <p>America turns 250. The Trump administration's idea of a birthday party: painting the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool flag-blue (then watching the algae return and the paint peel away), putting "Trump" on the Kennedy Center's façade (now hidden behind construction wrap), and raising a UFC octagon on the White House South Lawn (with the fight held on the president's 80th birthday)...</p> <p>Recorded on July 2, on the eve of Independence Day, this episode asks three questions: Who is throwing America's birthday party? Who gets to interpret American history? And who counts as an American?</p> <p>After 250 years on the road, the old car has arrived at a historical watershed.</p> <p><strong>【Support Us】</strong></p> <p>If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:</p> <p>Join our membership program: <a href="https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/">https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/</a></p> <p>Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette</p> <p>Business inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com</p> <p><strong>【Timeline】</strong></p> <p><a href="#t=01:42">01:42</a> Who's Throwing America's Birthday Party — and How?</p> <p><a href="#t=16:29">16:29</a> Who Pays, Who Runs the Show: Corporate Sponsors, Hidden Costs, and Three Competing Committees</p> <p><a href="#t=31:27">31:27</a> Who Gets to Interpret American History?</p> <p><a href="#t=1:00:41">1:00:41</a> 250 Years on the Road: The Miracle and Political Cycles of the World's Oldest Surviving Government</p> <p><a href="#t=1:09:45">1:09:45</a> Who Counts as an American? Birthright Citizenship's Narrow Escape</p> <p><a href="#t=1:32:38">1:32:38</a> America's "Suez Moment"? Turning 250 in a Teetering World Order</p> <p><strong>【Who We Are】</strong></p> <p>The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.</p> <p>Our hosts and guests:</p> <p>Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history</p> <p>王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information</p> <p>Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer</p>
June 20, 2026
088 | Claude最强模型被禁：AI监管时代的混乱开场 Fable 5 and Mythos 5 Pulled
<p><strong>【聊了什么】</strong></p> <p>6月12日，美国商务部以国家安全为由，限制 Anthropic/Claude 最新模型 Mythos 5 和 Fable 5 向外国人开放。随后，Anthropic 将这两个刚刚发布、被视为公司最强能力代表的模型全线下架。一个 AI 产品更新，为什么会突然变成国家安全事件？所谓“外国人不能用”，又如何影响到整个 AI 行业？</p> <p>本期我们从技术层面解释大语言模型的“护栏”：它为什么需要拒绝回答某些问题，为什么护栏太低会带来安全风险，护栏太高又会误伤正常科研和普通用户。Anthropic 一直主张 AI 监管，但当政府真的出手，监管又立刻变成出口管制、国籍边界、法律灰色地带和政治表态问题。</p> <p>我们也把讨论推到更大的层面：Anthropic 的价值观、AI 公司与军方合作、硅谷加速主义者的反应、开源模型和 AI 安全之间的矛盾，以及特朗普和桑德斯都提到过的 AI 国有化、主权基金和全民分红。AI 不只是技术产品，也正在成为国家安全、文化战争、劳动力市场和人类社会未来秩序的一部分。</p> <p><strong>【支持我们】</strong></p> <p>如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：</p> <p>也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： <a href="https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/">https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/</a></p> <p>会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。</p> <p>合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com</p> <p><strong>【时间轴】</strong></p> <p><a href="#t=01:13">01:13</a> Claude 最新模型被限，Anthropic 全线下架</p> <p><a href="#t=05:23">05:23</a> 技术、政治与意识形态如何交织</p> <p><a href="#t=05:52">05:52</a> 什么是大模型“越狱”和“护栏”</p> <p><a href="#t=12:37">12:37</a> 亚马逊、安全人员与模型漏洞举报</p> <p><a href="#t=14:01">14:01</a> 政府与 Anthropic 各执一词的罗生门</p> <p><a href="#t=21:47">21:47</a> Anthropic 为什么主动呼吁 AI 监管</p> <p><a href="#t=23:15">23:15</a> 出口管制：美国能否限制外国人使用模型</p> <p><a href="#t=30:12">30:12</a> Anthropic 的价值观、国家安全和军方合作</p> <p><a href="#t=41:34">41:34</a> 禁令会不会削弱美国 AI 的领先优势</p> <p><a href="#t=43:40">43:40</a> 硅谷加速主义者为何为 Anthropic 被锤叫好</p> <p><a href="#t=45:03">45:03</a> 白宫内部权力变化与 AI 政策走向</p> <p><a href="#t=49:07">49:07</a> 用户数据、文化战争与开源模型争议</p> <p><a href="#t=53:12">53:12</a> 从公司自律到国家入股：AI 巨头国有化想象</p> <p><a href="#t=54:17">54:17</a> AI 冲击劳动力市场之后，社会如何分配红利</p> <p><strong>【我们是谁】</strong></p> <p>美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。</p> <p>本期的主播和嘉宾：</p> <p>小华：媒体人</p> <p>曹起曈：青椒，政治行为研究者</p> <p>主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。</p> <p><strong>【What We Talked About】</strong></p> <p>On June 12, the U.S. Commerce Department restricted access to Anthropic/Claude’s latest models, Mythos 5 and Fable 5, for foreign nationals on national security grounds. Anthropic then took both newly released models, widely seen as the company’s most capable systems, offline for all users. How did an AI product update suddenly become a national security incident? And how does a rule that “foreigners cannot use it” affect the entire AI industry?</p> <p>In this episode, we explain the technical side of large language model “guardrails”: why models need to refuse certain requests, why guardrails that are too weak can create safety risks, and why guardrails that are too strict can interfere with legitimate research and ordinary users. Anthropic has long advocated for AI regulation, but once the government actually intervenes, regulation immediately turns into a question of export controls, national boundaries, legal gray areas, and political signaling.</p> <p>We also broaden the discussion to Anthropic’s values, AI companies’ cooperation with the military, reactions from Silicon Valley accelerationists, the tension between open-source models and AI safety, and proposals raised by both Trump and Sanders around AI nationalization, sovereign wealth funds, and public dividends. AI is no longer just a technology product; it is becoming part of national security, the culture war, the labor market, and the future order of human society.</p> <p><strong>【Support Us】</strong></p> <p>If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:</p> <p>Join our membership program: <a href="https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/">https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/</a></p> <p>Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette</p> <p>Business inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com</p> <p><strong>【Timeline】</strong></p> <p><a href="#t=01:13">01:13</a> Claude’s latest models are restricted, and Anthropic takes them offline</p> <p><a href="#t=05:23">05:23</a> How technology, politics, and ideology become entangled</p> <p><a href="#t=05:52">05:52</a> What “jailbreaking” and “guardrails” mean for large language models</p> <p><a href="#t=12:37">12:37</a> Amazon, security researchers, and reports of model vulnerabilities</p> <p><a href="#t=14:01">14:01</a> The competing narratives from the government and Anthropic</p> <p><a href="#t=21:47">21:47</a> Why Anthropic has actively called for AI regulation</p> <p><a href="#t=23:15">23:15</a> Export controls: can the U.S. restrict foreigners from using AI models?</p> <p><a href="#t=30:12">30:12</a> Anthropic’s values, national security, and cooperation with the military</p> <p><a href="#t=41:34">41:34</a> Will the ban weaken America’s lead in AI?</p> <p><a href="#t=43:40">43:40</a> Why Silicon Valley accelerationists are cheering Anthropic’s troubles</p> <p><a href="#t=45:03">45:03</a> Shifting power inside the White House and the future of AI policy</p> <p><a href="#t=49:07">49:07</a> User data, culture-war politics, and the open-source model debate</p> <p><a href="#t=53:12">53:12</a> From corporate self-regulation to state ownership: imagining AI nationalization</p> <p><a href="#t=54:17">54:17</a> After AI disrupts the labor market, how should society share the gains?</p> <p><strong>【Who We Are】</strong></p> <p>The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.</p> <p>Our hosts and guests:</p> <p>小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer</p> <p>曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School</p> <p>The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions.</p>
June 10, 2026
087 当世界杯遇上美国例外论 2026 FIFA World Cup
<p><strong>【聊了什么】</strong></p> <p>本期我们请来<a href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/podcast/5e393a72418a84a046bd59a4">《翻转体育》</a>主播Hualun，一起聊即将在美国、墨西哥和加拿大举行的世界杯。但这不是一期预测谁会夺冠的节目，而是借世界杯看美国：一个全球化程度最高的体育赛事，进入美国之后，会怎样撞上美国式的基础设施、城市规划、体育商业和政治现实？</p> <p><strong>【支持我们】</strong></p> <p>如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：</p> <p>也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： <a href="https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/">https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/</a></p> <p>会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。</p> <p>合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com</p> <p><strong>【时间轴】</strong></p> <p><a href="#t=01:29">01:29</a> 雷暴、酷暑与美国基础设施的第一道考题</p> <p><a href="#t=03:36">03:36</a> 橄榄球场改足球场：人工草皮与球员体验</p> <p><a href="#t=06:14">06:14</a> MetLife Stadium：纽约决赛为什么在新泽西</p> <p><a href="#t=07:57">07:57</a> 豪华球场之外，美国交通有多抽象</p> <p><a href="#t=10:18">10:18</a> 停车场国家如何承办世界杯决赛</p> <p><a href="#t=13:15">13:15</a> 天价球票、抽签和二级市场</p> <p><a href="#t=21:31">21:31</a> 美资进入欧洲足球，美国元素越来越重要</p> <p><a href="#t=24:46">24:46</a> 美国足球的崛起，以及它离欧洲主流还有多远</p> <p><a href="#t=27:33">27:33</a> 特朗普政府、旅行限制和远征球迷的麻烦</p> <p><a href="#t=30:20">30:20</a> 当政治人物开始表演“球迷身份”</p> <p><a href="#t=36:31">36:31</a> MLS、梅西效应与美国足球能否真正出圈</p> <p><a href="#t=45:21">45:21</a> 不靠谱夺冠预测</p> <p><strong>【我们是谁】</strong></p> <p>美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。</p> <p>本期的主播和嘉宾：</p> <p>王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子</p> <p>小华：媒体人</p> <p>Hualun：<a href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/podcast/5e393a72418a84a046bd59a4">《翻转体育》</a>主播</p> <p><strong>【What We Talked About】</strong></p> <p>In this episode, we are joined by Hualun, host of 泛转体育, for a conversation with Xiao Hua and Harry Wang about the upcoming World Cup in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. But this is not really a prediction episode about who will win. Instead, we use the World Cup as a lens to look at the United States: what happens when one of the most globalized sporting events runs into American infrastructure, urban planning, sports business, and politics?</p> <p><strong>【Support Us】</strong></p> <p>If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:</p> <p>Join our membership program: <a href="https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/">https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/</a></p> <p>Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette</p> <p>Business inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com</p> <p><strong>【Timeline】</strong></p> <p><a href="#t=01:29">01:29</a> Thunderstorms, summer heat, and the first infrastructure test</p> <p><a href="#t=03:36">03:36</a> Converting NFL stadiums for soccer: turf, grass, and player experience</p> <p><a href="#t=06:14">06:14</a> MetLife Stadium: why the New York final is actually in New Jersey</p> <p><a href="#t=07:57">07:57</a> Luxury stadiums and America’s transportation problem</p> <p><a href="#t=10:18">10:18</a> How does a parking-lot country host a World Cup final?</p> <p><a href="#t=13:15">13:15</a> Sky-high ticket prices, lotteries, and the resale market</p> <p><a href="#t=21:31">21:31</a> American capital enters European football</p> <p><a href="#t=24:46">24:46</a> The rise of U.S. soccer, and how far it still is from Europe’s mainstream</p> <p><a href="#t=27:33">27:33</a> The Trump administration, travel restrictions, and visiting fans</p> <p><a href="#t=30:20">30:20</a> When politicians perform their identities as sports fans</p> <p><a href="#t=36:31">36:31</a> MLS, the Messi effect, and whether U.S. soccer can truly break through</p> <p><a href="#t=45:21">45:21</a> Tournament favorites: Spain, France, Argentina, or England?</p> <p><strong>【Who We Are】</strong></p> <p>The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.</p> <p>Our hosts and guests:</p> <p>王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information</p> <p>小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer</p> <p>Hualun: Host of <a href="https://www.xiaoyuzhoufm.com/podcast/5e393a72418a84a046bd59a4">《翻转体育》</a></p>
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