In-depth analysis of current trends and future expectations for different segments of the oil market, with a focus on understanding both the supply and demand dynamics at play.
Sparta Market Outlook
Claim This Podcastby Sparta
5.0(42 reviews)
98 episodes
Updated Daily
Accepts GuestsHas SponsorsLocation 🇺🇸
45
Podcast Authority
BetaFairBased on show quality, social media presence, reviews, charts, and more
Quality69
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Engagement51
Podcast Overview
In-depth analysis of current trends and future expectations for different segments of the oil market, with a focus on understanding both the supply and demand dynamics at play.
Language
🇺🇲
Publishing Since
8/15/2024
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45
Podcast Authority
BetaFairBased on show quality, social media presence, reviews, charts, and more
Quality69
Social0
YouTube0
Engagement51
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57 episodes over 1.1 years
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Recent Episodes
June 18, 2026
Episode 98: Iran signs, crude breaks $80, but we're now oversold
Felipe Elink Schuurman, Neil Crosby and James Noel-Beswick dig into the signed Iran-US MOU and a market pricing rapid de-escalation. Crude under $80, Dubai swaps in contango, an oversold barrel. They weigh whether Hormuz reopens cleanly or shipping delays keep oil short for longer. Chapters: (00:31) The Iran MOU: signed, but what was signed? A $300bn package, a 60-day Hormuz waiver and a deal that looks better for Iran than the US. (06:31) Scenarios: oversold now, but is it real? Dubai swaps in contango, longs washed out. Neil maps the path from here over the next six weeks. (15:43) Distillates: cracks cool, US stocks stay perilous Gas oil spreads sell off hard, but heating oil holds as PADD diesel stocks signal slowing US exports. (18:57) Gasoline: the US bounce and Europe's supply wall RBOB spreads firm as arbs open to New York, while Dangote and Northwest Europe cap the upside. (23:32) Crude: heavy everywhere except the US AG and Brent diffs plummet, US tightens then peaks, and China is the swing nobody can call. (29:03) Fuel oil: 0.5 looks oversold East-west back below $40/ton at pre-war levels, with arbs shut and Dangote barely breaking even.
June 10, 2026
Episode 97: Hormuz transits accelerate but risk is high.
Neil Crosby hosts with Michael Ryan and June Goh. Growing Hormuz transits, a record 262 VLCC orders, Atlantic tonnage oversupply, softening Dubai premiums, and why Singapore VLSFO blend margins are building a bullish case into Q3. Chapters: (00:48) Atlantic freight: the tonnage trap Ships flooding the Atlantic from all segments as Persian Gulf flows shrink, driving wild rate swings. (04:47) Iran, Hormuz and US strategy US-Iran direct conflict resumes; Hormuz transits quietly growing as Iran's oil influence fades. (07:26) Demand data and inventory watch Indian and EU demand mixed; Cushing near its 20 million barrel floor; VLSFO stocks at zero in Fujairah. (12:09) Record VLCC orders: a long-term warning 262 VLCCs on order, surpassing the 2008 peak. The bearish signal shipowners cannot ignore. (19:19) PG crude: trickle turns to stream ADNOC tenders 14 million barrels; Dubai premiums soften; China stays out of WAF and PG markets. (26:59) Products quickfire: distillates, gasoline, fuel oil Singapore regrade strengthens; VLSFO east-west collapses to $55/ton; Botany Bay gasoline arb reopens.
June 4, 2026
Episode 96: Peace deal merry-go-round continues
Felipe Elink Schuurman hosts Neil Crosby and first-time guest Jay Maroo. The episode covers the stalled US-Iran peace process, Hormuz transit at 10% of pre-crisis levels, Indian and Chinese product exports collapsing, Cushing approaching its 20 million barrel floor, and why crude, distillates, and gasoline all look too cheap.Chapters: (01:15) Sleepwalking into the inventory crisis Lebanon complicates the Iran deal; Brent under $100 despite accelerating US commercial crude draws. (06:00) Hormuz: 10% of pre-crisis flows Jay Maroo: even a peace deal won't reopen flows quickly — Hormuz is a runway, not a field. (10:29) India, Russia, China: the supply rescue fails Indian exports at 4-year lows, Russian runs collapsing, Chinese product exports disappoint May expectations. (14:39) Distillates: gas oil rallies, heating oil spreads lag Kuwait airport attack lifts sentiment; heating oil spreads haven't followed — and may still be the trade. (20:28) Crude: Cushing at 22 million barrels Commercial draws hit 1 mbd last week; physical diffs in Europe cooling from unexpected crude inflows. (26:57) Gasoline: at five-year mean, everything looks cheap ARA cheapest into LatAm; demand destruction estimates rising to 5-6 mbd globally.
98 total episodes available
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- What is Sparta Market Outlook?
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This podcast updates daily.
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